Chart comparing redevelopment stages with visitor costs and price differences. A town's redevelopment stage predicts what your visit will cost
Image: Walk Town Wise

Costs

Part of 3 lessons from walkable town case studies

A town's redevelopment stage predicts what your visit will cost

How a town's stage of redevelopment shows up in what a visit costs, which funding streams shaped the district, and how to predict prices before you book.

Two towns with similar populations can differ by half again on the price of a weekend, and the reason is usually visible on a map. Districts that have been through a documented redevelopment cycle price like small cities. Districts still waiting for one price like small towns.

What to take away

  • The stage of redevelopment predicts prices better than population does.
  • Federal funding follows formulas, so which places get money is not random.
  • Newly finished districts are the most expensive. Adjacent blocks are not.
  • Budget the district, not the town, because the difference is a few hundred yards wide.

Redevelopment stage, and what it costs you

What you see

Before
Empty ground floors, short hours
During
Fenced sites, detours, new signage
Just after
New hotels, new restaurants
Ten years after
Mixed old and new, settled

What it costs

Before
Cheap, thin, unreliable
During
Cheap, disrupted
Just after
Highest prices in the county
Ten years after
Moderate, and the best value

The just-after stage catches people out. A district that finished a rebuild two years ago has new lodging, new restaurant pricing and not much competition yet. The same town four blocks over has not changed at all, and often has the better breakfast.

Redevelopment stage vs visit cost

Before

What you see
Empty ground floors
What it costs
Cheap, unreliable

During

What you see
Fenced sites, detours
What it costs
Cheap, disrupted

Just after

What you see
New hotels, restaurants
What it costs
Highest in county

Ten years after

What you see
Mixed old and new
What it costs
Moderate, best value

The ten-years-after stage is the sweet spot for a visitor. The infrastructure is finished and maintained, the novelty premium has gone, and the mix of businesses has settled into something that serves residents rather than only visitors.

The money is not random

Formulas largely determine where investment goes. HUD's Affordable Housing Programs page describes the HOME Investment Partnerships Program as the largest federal block grant to state and local governments, designed exclusively to create affordable housing for low-income households.

The 200,000 threshold

200,000 | population threshold for direct CDBG funding

Every 3 years | HUD requalifies entitlement communities

Largest federal block grant | HOME funds affordable housing

It is awarded annually as formula grants to participating jurisdictions and can fund building, buying or rehabilitating housing plus direct rental assistance.

Community development money works the same way. HUD's explanation of urban counties says counties in a metropolitan area get Community Development Block Grant funding directly at a population threshold, generally 200,000.

The count excludes populations of metropolitan cities inside them, and HUD requalifies those entitlement communities every three years.

You do not need to follow the details. The takeaway is that a county over that threshold has had a predictable stream of community development money, and its towns usually show it in their sidewalks and streetscapes. Smaller counties compete for the same money through their state instead, which is slower and less certain, and it shows.

None of this is a judgment about which towns are worth visiting. It is a way of predicting what you will find before you get there.

Budget the district, not the town

Because the money lands district by district, so do the prices. A room in the rebuilt block and a room six streets away can differ by a third, and on a walking trip the six streets cost you twelve minutes.

That trade is worth doing deliberately rather than by accident. Our guide to transport, stays and tickets covers how to price the walk against the room, and the case studies pillar explains how to find out what stage a district is at before you book.

Common questions

How do I tell which stage a district is in?
Compare street imagery from three years apart. The change is obvious and free to check.
Is the just-after stage worth paying for?
For one night, often. For a longer stay, base yourself nearby instead.
Do these funding programs affect visitor prices directly?
Not directly. They change what gets built, and what gets built changes what things cost.
Where is the best value in a redeveloped town?
The blocks immediately outside the project boundary, which usually improve next.

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